Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031088 0.036828 0.042802 0.049443 0.056582 0.063993 0.072234
2026-01-04 0.021148 0.029025 0.037790 0.048077 0.059653 0.072137 0.086483
2026-01-11 0.016021 0.025130 0.035859 0.048988 0.064250 0.081131 0.100938
2026-01-18 0.012147 0.021861 0.033954 0.049311 0.067653 0.088351 0.113026
2026-01-25 0.009283 0.019286 0.032433 0.049698 0.070801 0.095013 0.124241
2026-02-01 0.006871 0.016826 0.030697 0.049523 0.073040 0.100427 0.133859
2026-02-08 0.004330 0.013546 0.027449 0.047108 0.072296 0.102129 0.138996
2026-02-15 0.002864 0.011573 0.025731 0.046455 0.073554 0.106071 0.146627
2026-02-22 0.002004 0.010422 0.025046 0.047060 0.076300 0.111729 0.156221
2026-03-01 0.001365 0.009471 0.024535 0.047811 0.079166 0.117486 0.165893
2026-03-08 0.000985 0.008962 0.024649 0.049382 0.083054 0.124467 0.177007
2026-03-15 0.000607 0.008206 0.024260 0.050181 0.085895 0.130134 0.186523
2026-03-22 0.000580 0.008684 0.026091 0.054343 0.093369 0.141782 0.203556
2026-03-29 0.000156 0.007056 0.024085 0.052849 0.093351 0.144153 0.209448
2026-04-05 0.000038 0.006422 0.023771 0.053796 0.096549 0.150510 0.220149
2026-04-12 NaN 0.005659 0.023097 0.054134 0.098884 0.155757 0.229482
2026-04-19 NaN 0.004993 0.022505 0.054540 0.101273 0.161047 0.238847
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004236 0.021584 0.054357 0.102807 0.165217 0.246814
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003011 0.019292 0.051820 0.100967 0.164998 0.249308
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002366 0.018193 0.051134 0.101658 0.167982 0.255723
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002052 0.017901 0.051770 0.104201 0.173350 0.265085
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001797 0.017713 0.052559 0.106950 0.178976 0.274764
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001708 0.018022 0.054209 0.110937 0.186216 0.286457